Thursday, 9 October 2014

10 Calculated Risks That Lead To Startup Success

Martin Zwilling
There is an old saying that good lawyers run away from risk, while good businessmen run towards risk. Entrepreneurs see “no risk” as meaning “no reward.” In reality, all risks are not the same. Many risks can be managed or calculated to improve growth or provide a competitive edge, while others, like skipping quality checks to save money, are recipes for failure.

The challenge is to avoid the bad risks, while actively seeking and managing the smart risks. There are no guarantees in business, but it pays to learn from the experiences of entrepreneurs and business experts who have gone before you. As a long-time mentor to entrepreneurs, here is my collection of smart risks that investors and I look for in new startups:

    Focus on a tough customer problem rather than a fun technology. Investors hate technology solutions looking for a problem, due to the high risk of no customers. If the customer need is obvious and large, the calculated risk is in the quality of your solution, your team, and marketing. These are risks that can be mitigated with the right resources.
    Schedule frequent updates to your solution to maintain growth. Assuming that you can quickly recover after competitors kill your cash cow is not a smart risk. You need a plan to regularly obsolete your own offerings, with continuous innovation, before customers send you negative messages. It’s hard to recover from a tarnished image.
    Plan to deliver a family of products, rather than a one-trick pony. Even a great initial product, with no follow-on, won’t keep you ahead of competitors very long. A smarter risk is to build a plan, with associated greater resources, that will put you in position to expand your product line and keep one step ahead of competitors.
    Implement a modern real business model. Providing everything free, and growing users to the max for years, like Twitter TWTR -0.23% and Facebook, is a high risk approach requiring deep pockets. Risk is more manageable with subscriptions and even freemium pricing. Even non-profits need revenue to cover their costs, and continue to provide services.
    Find a strategic partner to accelerate growth. Everyone wants to forge ahead all alone, and kill every competitor in sight. Almost always, risks are more predictable when you use coopetition for access to new customers, economies of scale, and shared resources. Finding win-win deals is a manageable risk, versus a battle with one winner.
    Use metrics to measure results of marketing initiatives. Too many entrepreneurs put all their resources in one big make-or-break effort they can’t measure, or they count on word-of-mouth and viral marketing, which are totally unpredictable. I like marketing plans that come from both inside and outside the box, but have milestones and measurements.
    Recruit the best team members and provide incentives. Trying to save money by recruiting family members, or hiring only interns, is a bad risk. Great team members may take more time to find, and cost you stock options, but a qualified and highly motivated team that stretches your budget is a good calculated risk.
    Build your business with minimum outside funding. More money is not more likely to solve your problems or reduce your risk. Investors know that startups with too much money fail just as often as those with not enough. Strategically, you need a plan to survive through organic growth, with outside funding to effectively accelerate scaling.
    Don’t rely on conservative forecasts to reduce risk. Investors don’t fund conservative forecasts, nor wildly optimistic ones, since both imply a lack of commitment or homework. Opportunity and revenue projections based on deep market and customer analysis are a smarter risk. Measurements and business intelligence along the way also mitigate risk.
    Be a leader rather than following in the footsteps of another. Many entrepreneurs think they can reduce and predict risk by emulating previous winners like Google GOOGL -2.17% and Twitter. But stepping into a crowded space to steal customers is more risky than attracting new customers looking for a solution. Customers like leaders, not followers.

The risks you want to take are the ones that you planned for in your resources, set up metrics to measure, and manage on an ongoing basis. All the rest are bad risks, including problems you didn’t anticipate, competitors you didn’t know about, and customer expectations that you can’t meet.

An age-old measure of startup health is how much time top executives spend on containing bad risks, versus proactively exploring new risk opportunities. If the majority of your time is in recovery mode, your whole startup is likely a bad risk.(Forbes)

Become a Value Creator

Managers who adopt a mindset to create value hold the key to becoming truly successful leaders, says Brian Hall.
by Dina Gerdeman

As a young teacher at Harvard Business School, Brian J. Hall called on longtime professor James Cash for a favor: Hall wanted to study the inner workings of General Electric, and he needed Cash's help to get in touch with top-level executives who could provide insights for his research.

Later, Hall asked how he could pay back the favor. Cash put his arm around his colleague's shoulder and said, "You don't owe me anything, Brian. This is the way we do things here. Just pay it forward."

    “Shareholder value or profits are measures, not goals in and of themselves”

"I will never forget that," says Hall, now the Albert H. Gordon Professor of Business Administration. "That had such a huge influence on me."

It's an example of what Hall calls "value-creating" behavior—doing a favor for the good of the organization without expecting anything in return.

Hall argues that managers who adopt a value-creating mindset hold the key to becoming truly successful leaders.

"Business is a team sport. It's soccer, not golf. Nobody plays by themselves and wins in business," Hall said during a seminar on value creation versus "value claiming" held at Alghanim Industries, one of the largest multibusiness companies in the Middle East. Hall previously served as EVP and then interim CEO of the company, and is now an adviser.

"You will never succeed until you become a good team player, somebody who thinks about other people and checks their motivations at the door."
MORE PIE FOR EVERYONE

In general, value creators work cooperatively with others to make the corporate pie bigger for all, whereas value claimers focus on taking more of the pie for themselves—like a thief steals for personal gain.

The business world is filled with value claimers, and this all-for-me attitude becomes apparent in a variety of ways.

For example, during internal corporate budget disputes, some executives focus only on their own needs without considering the requirements of other departments or individuals.

And then there are workers who hoard information like gold, believing that guarding certain company know-how gives them more power. Rather than sharing customer lists that might give another department a hand in making sales, for instance, they squirrel those names away. Some find more subtle ways to keep others out of the loop, like failing to copy certain colleagues on pertinent emails.

"People want to increase their power by keeping that information confidential," Hall says. "But you have to make sure you cc the right people. It's important to keep in mind which people need the information in order [for them] to do their job better."
A BAD HABIT

Most people don't look to become value claimers, but rather just fall into it as a way of protecting their own corporate turf, Hall contends. Eventually, it ends up becoming a habit that sticks. The instinct to claim is strong, so everybody will naturally be a little bit both a value claimer and a value creator.

But an executive can actively choose to be a value creator, someone who always looks for the "win-win," leaving enough room for both sides to benefit from a deal without feeling the need to swipe every last penny.

"Sometimes you have to give up something you want. It's a very hard thing to do, and no one is ever going to be perfect at it," Hall says. "But if you make it your goal to be a value creator, then it becomes an instinct, it becomes the lens you have on things, and it becomes easier. It's clarifying, and if you can focus on that, it is the way to win."

One way to be a good value creator: give coworkers credit where credit is due. The need to appear smart can lead managers to cast blame on others for missteps or to claim an employee's idea as their own when speaking before their bosses or boards—the kind of thing that can be terribly demotivating to the person who had the idea.

"It's a tragedy when that happens," Hall said. "Somebody is trying to claim value, but in doing so, the person has destroyed value for the company by demotivating an employee. Everybody loses." Having a staff member receive credit for good ideas not only makes the employee feel valued and motivates him or her to come up with better ideas in the future, but also makes the leader look good.

The purpose of business is simple and well-defined, Hall says: It's to make the world a better place, to create value. After all, companies that make their purpose just about profit often do poorly because both their customers and their employees sense this quest for the almighty dollar, which makes them feel as if they are being squeezed rather than served.

"Shareholder value or profits are measures, not goals in and of themselves," Hall says. "It's hard to wake up in the morning and get excited about creating shareholder value. The way to be a successful company is to think, How do we produce this at better costs, or how do we make this more valuable for our customers? The profits follow from that."
THE ROOT OF ALL SCANDALS

In 2008, greedy bankers became high-profile value claimers and nearly took the entire world into a depression, Hall says. They were slapped with tighter financial regulations as a result.

"Every scandal is the result of someone trying to claim value at the expense of others. You have the license to be a bank because you're supposed to make the world a better place. Instead, when a group of banks makes very poor decisions, all because individuals were doing something that was better for them, bad things happen and society changes the rules on them. They lose in the long run."

During the seminar, Hall outlined three reasons executives should give great consideration to becoming value creators:

What goes around comes around. Executives shouldn't look to create value only because they hope to receive a favor or other reward in return.

"That's a very transactional, short-run approach," he said. "That doesn't work well in companies, and it doesn't work well in marriages. Imagine if you and your spouse wanted something in return for every little thing you did, and you had to make sure every single thing was even."

But when you extend yourself in a way that creates value for a coworker and for the company as a whole, many times a good portion of the pie will come back to you. Rewards, in the form of greater compensation, promotions, or other benefits, are often dealt to those who create value in their companies.

It's the safest route. It may feel risky to give others credit—particularly when you may be worried that no one will do the same for you—but you will actually feel safer and less anxious by doing the right thing.

"I've never been a bank robber, but I can imagine it's an anxious way to live. You know what you're doing isn't right and you might get caught," Hall said. "There are lesser versions of that in companies. People know the reason they get by is that they're very good at protecting their turf and getting their piece of the pie, rather than someone knowing they are very good at what they do and are creating value. This creates very different levels of anxiety. It's much safer to be a team player."

Others will like you, and ultimately you'll be happier. People who are bad sports in the business world stand out.

When Hall gives his talk to managers and executives and asks them to think about people in their organizations on the two ends of the spectrum—value claimers versus value creators—they generally have no trouble visualizing them right away.

"What does that tell you? What we all know is that people develop reputations," Hall said. "When you're a non-team player and it's all about you, it becomes obvious. People are not very self-aware about how transparent it is. But if you think you're getting away with it, you're not. People know."

And if you're not well liked and respected, quite simply it's hard to be happy, Hall believes. During the seminar, Hall gave the example of a coworker who was a big value claimer, starting every sentence with "I" and always making everything about him. He was a lonely guy. Nobody liked him, and when he left the company, nobody shed a tear.

"It's not a fun life," Hall said, noting that the biggest predictor of happiness in life is good relationships. "If you have really good relationships, you have really good friends. You have people who have your back, who believe in you, who really respect you, and you feel the same way about others. If you have that in your life, it's very hard not to be happy.

"If you don't have that, it's impossible to be happy."(HarvardBusinessSchool)


About the author

Dina Gerdeman is a writer based in Mansfield, Massachusetts.